Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Diego Pavia
Diego Pavia

Player breakdown

Diego Pavia

Vanderbilt · 2026 Draft Class

5-10207 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
HighUnitas x1
Major awards: 1Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: $2.7M
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

70%

SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2025VanderbiltSEC132503253,085150949722

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

48%

ML model output

Context Prob

48%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

3,085 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.273
No height-adjusted speed data — missing combine measurement+0.267
1 season(s) at 80+ ypg — one elite output+0.262

Top Negative Factors

Physical upside: 0.57 — average athletic ceiling-0.568
Improvement accelerating (+3085.0) — getting better faster each year-0.390
237.3 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.335

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)