Player breakdown
Dillon Gabriel
Oregon · 2025 Draft Class
5-11205 lbs3rd round, 94th overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~25
EliteAll-Conference x2Missed 25+ TD
Major awards: 2Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: $2.8M
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
88%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | CLE | 10 | 6 | 110 | 185 | 937 | 7 | 2 | 86 | 0 | 7 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | UCF | Big 12 | 12 | 222 | 374 | 3,393 | 27 | 7 | 77 | 3 | 30 |
| 2020 | UCF | Big 12 | 9 | 248 | 413 | 3,570 | 32 | 4 | 169 | 2 | 34 |
| 2021 | UCF | Big 12 | 3 | 70 | 102 | 814 | 9 | 3 | 125 | 2 | 11 |
| 2022 | Oklahoma | SEC | 0 | 216 | 343 | 2,925 | 24 | 6 | 298 | 5 | 29 |
| 2023 | Oklahoma | SEC | 12 | 266 | 384 | 3,660 | 30 | 6 | 373 | 12 | 42 |
| 2024 | Oregon | Big Ten | 13 | 297 | 406 | 3,558 | 28 | 6 | 192 | 7 | 35 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
67%
ML model output
Context Prob
67%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Improvement accelerating (+0.1) — getting better faster each year+0.345
3,558 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.273
No height-adjusted speed data — missing combine measurement+0.267
Top Negative Factors
Physical upside: 0.57 — average athletic ceiling-0.574
273.7 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.351
Composite college score: 10 — above avg multi-metric profile-0.261