Predicting the Pros
Predictions/D.J. Shockley
D.J. Shockley

Player breakdown

D.J. Shockley

Georgia · 2006 Draft Class

6-1214 lbs7th round, 223rd overallAge: ~41
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

35%

SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2003GeorgiaSEC61022971013112
2004GeorgiaSEC32657464418704
2005GeorgiaSEC101532772,311215251425

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

35%

ML model output

Context Prob

35%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Physical upside: 0.92 — elite athletic ceiling+0.355
Strong ascending production slope (+1107 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time+0.337
2,872 career receiving yards — strong volume+0.273

Top Negative Factors

Improvement accelerating (+22.8) — getting better faster each year-0.397
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output-0.345
159.6 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.322

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)