Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Dorian Thompson-Robinson
Dorian Thompson-Robinson

Player breakdown

Dorian Thompson-Robinson

UCLA · 2023 Draft Class

6-2203 lbs5th round, 140th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~26
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

11%

YearTeamGGSCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2023CLE8360112440146501
2024CLE72611184400612200
SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2018UCLABig Ten61121941,311746807
2019UCLABig Ten102163622,7012112198425
2020UCLABig Ten4901381,120124306315
2021UCLABig Ten111762832,409216609930
2022UCLABig Ten02503582,8832576311136

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

11%

ML model output

Context Prob

11%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Physical upside: 0.89 — elite athletic ceiling+0.438
4.44s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.269
10,424 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.260

Top Negative Factors

Improvement accelerating (+1.2) — getting better faster each year-0.397
5 college seasons of data — proven multi-year track record-0.353
336.3 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.343

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)