Player breakdown
Drew Allar
Penn State · 2026 Draft Class
6-5228 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: $4.2M
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
23%
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Penn State | Big Ten | 6 | 93 | 144 | 911 | 4 | 1 | 200 | 1 | 5 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
23%
ML model output
Context Prob
23%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
No height-adjusted speed data — missing combine measurement+0.275
911 career receiving yards — modest volume+0.273
1 season(s) at 80+ ypg — one elite output+0.262
Top Negative Factors
Physical upside: 0.62 — strong athletic ceiling-0.554
Improvement accelerating (+911.0) — getting better faster each year-0.390
151.8 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.318