Player breakdown
Dylan Lonergan
Boston College · 2026 Draft Class
Undrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Medium
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
51%
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Boston College | ACC | 10 | 173 | 264 | 1,850 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 1 | 5 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
51%
ML model output
Context Prob
51%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.344
1,850 career receiving yards — modest volume+0.281
No height-adjusted speed data — missing combine measurement+0.269
Top Negative Factors
Physical upside: 0.00 — average athletic ceiling-0.562
185.0 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.325
Composite college score: 5 — average multi-metric profile-0.261