Player breakdown
EJ Colson
Incarnate Word · 2028 Draft Class
Undrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Medium
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
53%
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Incarnate Word | Southland | 10 | 201 | 296 | 2,003 | 7 | 3 | 458 | 2 | 9 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
53%
ML model output
Context Prob
53%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Strong ascending production slope (+2003 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time+0.349
2,003 career receiving yards — strong volume+0.281
No height-adjusted speed data — missing combine measurement+0.269
Top Negative Factors
Physical upside: 0.00 — average athletic ceiling-0.562
Improvement accelerating (+2003.0) — getting better faster each year-0.390
200.3 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.325