Eli Manning

Mississippi · 2004 Draft Class

6-5221 lbs1st round, 1st overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~45

HighUnitas x125+ Total TD

Major awards: 1Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --

Model confidence

Success Probability

70%

Year	Team	G	GS	Cmp	Att	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	Rush Yds	Rush TD	Total TD
2004	NYG	9	7	95	197	1,043	6	9	35	0	6
2005	NYG	16	16	294	557	3,762	24	17	80	1	25
2006	NYG	16	16	301	522	3,244	24	18	21	0	24
2007	NYG	16	16	297	529	3,336	23	20	69	1	24
2008	NYG	16	16	289	479	3,238	21	10	10	1	22
2009	NYG	16	16	317	509	4,021	27	14	65	0	27
2010	NYG	16	16	339	539	4,002	31	25	70	0	31
2011	NYG	16	16	359	589	4,933	29	16	15	1	30
2012	NYG	16	16	321	536	3,948	26	15	30	0	26
2013	NYG	16	16	317	551	3,818	18	27	36	0	18
2014	NYG	16	16	379	601	4,410	30	14	31	1	31
2015	NYG	16	16	387	618	4,432	35	14	61	0	35
2016	NYG	16	16	377	598	4,027	26	16	-9	0	26
2017	NYG	15	15	352	571	3,468	19	13	26	1	20
2018	NYG	16	16	380	576	4,299	21	11	20	1	22
2019	NYG	4	4	91	147	1,042	6	5	7	0	6

Season	Team	Conf	G	Cmp	Att	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	Rush Yds	Rush TD	Total TD
2003	Ole Miss	SEC	12	276	424	3,392	26	0	90	2	28

Model readout

XGBoost Prob

59%

ML model output

Context Prob

59%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.351

3,392 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.273

1 season(s) at 80+ ypg — one elite output+0.262

Physical upside: 0.87 — elite athletic ceiling-0.574

282.7 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.351

Height-adjusted speed: 4.58s — below average speed for frame-0.309