Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Erik Ainge
Erik Ainge

Player breakdown

Erik Ainge

Tennessee · 2008 Draft Class

6-5225 lbs5th round, 162nd overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~40
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

5%

SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2004TennesseeSEC91091981,4521790017
2005TennesseeSEC46614573757005
2006TennesseeSEC82083112,7221980019
2007TennesseeSEC123004763,15729100029

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

5%

ML model output

Context Prob

5%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.60s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.269
8,068 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.260
115 yards per TD — big-play production pattern+0.171

Top Negative Factors

Physical upside: 0.86 — elite athletic ceiling-0.552
Improvement accelerating (+1.2) — getting better faster each year-0.397
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output-0.359

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)