Player breakdown
Garrett Gilbert
SMU · 2014 Draft Class
6th round, 214th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~35
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
13%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | CAR | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019 | CLE | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 0 | 0 |
| 2020 | DAL | 1 | 1 | 21 | 38 | 243 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 0 | 1 |
| 2021 | WAS | 1 | 1 | 20 | 31 | 194 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 | Texas | SEC | 1 | 30 | 66 | 310 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 2010 | Texas | SEC | 9 | 260 | 441 | 2,744 | 10 | 17 | 380 | 5 | 15 |
| 2011 | Texas | SEC | 1 | 15 | 31 | 247 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 1 |
| 2012 | SMU | ACC | 10 | 268 | 506 | 2,932 | 15 | 15 | 346 | 8 | 23 |
| 2013 | SMU | ACC | 9 | 335 | 504 | 3,528 | 21 | 7 | 267 | 6 | 27 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
13%
ML model output
Context Prob
13%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
6,460 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.281
2 season(s) at 80+ ypg — sustained elite output+0.262
No height-adjusted speed data — missing combine measurement+0.252
Top Negative Factors
Physical upside: 0.00 — average athletic ceiling-0.557
Improvement accelerating (+10.4) — getting better faster each year-0.390
340.0 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.333