Player breakdown
Garrett Nussmeier
LSU · 2026 Draft Class
6-2203 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Medium
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: $2.5M
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
42%
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | LSU | SEC | 9 | 190 | 279 | 1,904 | 10 | 3 | 79 | 1 | 11 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
42%
ML model output
Context Prob
42%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Strong ascending production slope (+952 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time+0.294
No height-adjusted speed data — missing combine measurement+0.275
1,904 career receiving yards — modest volume+0.273
Top Negative Factors
Physical upside: 0.58 — average athletic ceiling-0.562
Improvement accelerating (+1904.0) — getting better faster each year-0.390
211.6 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.318