Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Hendon Hooker
Hendon Hooker

Player breakdown

Hendon Hooker

Tennessee · 2023 Draft Class

6-3217 lbs3rd round, 68th overallAge at Draft: 25Age: ~28
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

37%

YearTeamGGSCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2024DET30696200200
SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2018Virginia TechACC1000005711
2019Virginia TechACC7871401,445112306516
2020Virginia TechACC7981501,33995620918
2021TennesseeSEC111802612,567263561531
2022TennesseeSEC02293293,135272430532

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

37%

ML model output

Context Prob

37%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

5,702 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.273
1 season(s) at 80+ ypg — one elite output+0.262
No height-adjusted speed data — missing combine measurement+0.261

Top Negative Factors

Physical upside: 0.60 — strong athletic ceiling-0.551
518.4 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.351
Best-season yards rank: top 57% in class — average-0.290

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)