Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Hunter Watson
Hunter Watson

Player breakdown

Hunter Watson

Sam Houston · 2026 Draft Class

6-1170 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

27%

SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2025Sam HoustonConference USA6871519174234126

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

27%

ML model output

Context Prob

27%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

917 career receiving yards — modest volume+0.281
No height-adjusted speed data — missing combine measurement+0.269
1 season(s) at 80+ ypg — one elite output+0.262

Top Negative Factors

Physical upside: 0.00 — average athletic ceiling-0.554
Improvement accelerating (+917.0) — getting better faster each year-0.390
152.8 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.325

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)