Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Isaiah Stanback
Isaiah Stanback

Player breakdown

Isaiah Stanback

Washington · 2007 Draft Class

6-2216 lbs4th round, 103rd overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~42
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

4%

SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2003WashingtonBig Ten42218002200
2004WashingtonBig Ten32368389336625
2005WashingtonBig Ten81432642,13696353514
2006WashingtonBig Ten61011891,325103350414

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

4%

ML model output

Context Prob

4%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Physical upside: 0.92 — elite athletic ceiling+0.355
3,868 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.260
1.16 TDs/game — dominant red-zone role in college+0.141

Top Negative Factors

Improvement accelerating (+117.7) — getting better faster each year-0.390
3 season(s) at 80+ ypg — sustained elite output-0.319
203.6 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.318

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)