Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Jacob Eason
Jacob Eason

Player breakdown

Jacob Eason

Washington · 2020 Draft Class

6-6231 lbs4th round, 122nd overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~28
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

39%

YearTeamGGSCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2021IND10252501000
2022CAR10355901000
SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2016GeorgiaSEC101923492,2661480014
2017GeorgiaSEC0472800000
2019WashingtonBig Ten112383732,9222280022

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

39%

ML model output

Context Prob

39%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Physical upside: 0.90 — elite athletic ceiling+0.367
Improvement accelerating (+0.3) — getting better faster each year+0.344
4.75s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.277

Top Negative Factors

265.6 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.334
Height-adjusted speed: 4.51s — below average speed for frame-0.309
Best-season yards rank: top 54% in class — average-0.300

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)