Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Jacoby Brissett
Jacoby Brissett

Player breakdown

Jacoby Brissett

North Carolina St. · 2016 Draft Class

6-4231 lbs3rd round, 91st overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~33
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

15%

YearTeamGGSCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2016NWE323455400008311
2017IND16152764693,098137260417
2018IND4024200-700
2019IND15152724472,942186228422
2020IND1102817001933
2021MIA1151412251,283547016
2022CLE16112363692,608126243214
2023WAS301823224301903
2024NWE8595161826216202
2025ARI14123154853,366238168124
SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2011FloridaSEC4183920624724
2012FloridaSEC2233524910001
2014NC StateACC112063442,344225498325
2015NC StateACC02253672,448194303524

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

15%

ML model output

Context Prob

15%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.53s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.277
4,792 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.273
1 season(s) at 80+ ypg — one elite output+0.262

Top Negative Factors

Improvement accelerating (+10.9) — getting better faster each year-0.397
435.6 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.330
Height-adjusted speed: 4.68s — below average speed for frame-0.301

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)