Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Jake Fromm
Jake Fromm

Player breakdown

Jake Fromm

Georgia · 2020 Draft Class

6-2219 lbs5th round, 167th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~28
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

27%

YearTeamGGSCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2021NYG322760210136501
SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2017GeorgiaSEC131452302,173215107324
2018GeorgiaSEC121862722,5372750027
2019GeorgiaSEC122143552,6102250022

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

27%

ML model output

Context Prob

27%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Improvement accelerating (+0.2) — getting better faster each year+0.351
4.51s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.277
7,320 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.273

Top Negative Factors

Physical upside: 0.83 — elite athletic ceiling-0.551
197.8 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.341
3 season(s) at 80+ ypg — sustained elite output-0.319

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)