Player breakdown
Jake Haener
Fresno St. · 2023 Draft Class
6-0207 lbs4th round, 127th overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~27
HighAll-Conference x1Missed 25+ TD
Major awards: 1Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
58%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | NOR | 8 | 1 | 18 | 39 | 226 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 0 | 1 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | Washington | Big Ten | 1 | 9 | 13 | 107 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2020 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 6 | 150 | 232 | 2,021 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 3 | 17 |
| 2021 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 12 | 303 | 449 | 3,810 | 32 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 35 |
| 2022 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 0 | 228 | 314 | 2,616 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
41%
ML model output
Context Prob
41%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
8,447 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.273
2 season(s) at 80+ ypg — sustained elite output+0.262
No height-adjusted speed data — missing combine measurement+0.249
Top Negative Factors
Physical upside: 0.57 — average athletic ceiling-0.560
Improvement accelerating (+34.6) — getting better faster each year-0.390
469.3 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.345