Player breakdown
Jake Locker
Washington · 2011 Draft Class
6-2231 lbs1st round, 8th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~38
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
15%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | TEN | 5 | 0 | 34 | 66 | 542 | 4 | 0 | 56 | 1 | 5 |
| 2012 | TEN | 11 | 11 | 177 | 314 | 2,176 | 10 | 11 | 291 | 1 | 11 |
| 2013 | TEN | 7 | 7 | 111 | 183 | 1,256 | 8 | 4 | 155 | 2 | 10 |
| 2014 | TEN | 7 | 5 | 86 | 146 | 993 | 5 | 7 | 142 | 1 | 6 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | Washington | Big Ten | 11 | 155 | 328 | 2,062 | 14 | 15 | 986 | 13 | 27 |
| 2008 | Washington | Big Ten | 2 | 50 | 93 | 512 | 1 | 0 | 180 | 3 | 4 |
| 2009 | Washington | Big Ten | 12 | 230 | 395 | 2,800 | 21 | 11 | 388 | 7 | 28 |
| 2010 | Washington | Big Ten | 10 | 179 | 316 | 2,209 | 17 | 9 | 302 | 5 | 22 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
15%
ML model output
Context Prob
15%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Physical upside: 0.99 — elite athletic ceiling+0.355
Improvement accelerating (+0.4) — getting better faster each year+0.344
4.12s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.269
Top Negative Factors
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output-0.350
4 college seasons of data — proven multi-year track record-0.332
4 season(s) at 80+ ypg — sustained elite output-0.319