Player breakdown
Jalen Hurts
Oklahoma · 2020 Draft Class
6-1222 lbs2nd round, 53rd overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~28
High25+ Total TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
70%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | PHI | 15 | 4 | 77 | 148 | 1,061 | 6 | 4 | 354 | 3 | 9 |
| 2021 | PHI | 15 | 15 | 265 | 432 | 3,144 | 16 | 9 | 784 | 10 | 26 |
| 2022 | PHI | 15 | 15 | 306 | 460 | 3,701 | 22 | 6 | 760 | 13 | 35 |
| 2023 | PHI | 17 | 17 | 352 | 538 | 3,858 | 23 | 15 | 605 | 15 | 38 |
| 2024 | PHI | 15 | 15 | 248 | 361 | 2,903 | 18 | 5 | 630 | 14 | 32 |
| 2025 | PHI | 16 | 16 | 294 | 454 | 3,224 | 25 | 6 | 421 | 8 | 33 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | Alabama | SEC | 12 | 220 | 337 | 2,592 | 22 | 9 | 841 | 12 | 34 |
| 2017 | Alabama | SEC | 11 | 135 | 222 | 1,940 | 15 | 1 | 768 | 8 | 23 |
| 2018 | Alabama | SEC | 7 | 50 | 67 | 755 | 8 | 2 | 167 | 2 | 10 |
| 2019 | Oklahoma | SEC | 13 | 222 | 309 | 3,634 | 32 | 7 | 1,255 | 18 | 50 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
70%
ML model output
Context Prob
70%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Physical upside: 0.93 — elite athletic ceiling+0.375
Improvement accelerating (+0.4) — getting better faster each year+0.351
3,634 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.273
Top Negative Factors
279.5 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.351
Height-adjusted speed: 4.53s — below average speed for frame-0.315
Composite college score: 7 — average multi-metric profile-0.261