Player breakdown
Jalen Milroe
Alabama · 2025 Draft Class
6-2217 lbs3rd round, 92nd overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~23
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: $3.3M
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
22%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | SEA | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Alabama | SEC | 1 | 3 | 7 | 41 | 1 | 0 | 57 | 0 | 1 |
| 2022 | Alabama | SEC | 0 | 31 | 52 | 297 | 5 | 3 | 263 | 1 | 6 |
| 2023 | Alabama | SEC | 13 | 171 | 261 | 2,718 | 23 | 6 | 468 | 12 | 35 |
| 2024 | Alabama | SEC | 12 | 189 | 287 | 2,652 | 15 | 10 | 719 | 20 | 35 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
22%
ML model output
Context Prob
22%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
No height-adjusted speed data — missing combine measurement+0.275
2 season(s) at 80+ ypg — sustained elite output+0.262
5,708 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.260
Top Negative Factors
Physical upside: 0.59 — average athletic ceiling-0.554
Improvement accelerating (+65.3) — getting better faster each year-0.397
219.5 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.322