Player breakdown
James Kilian
Tulsa · 2005 Draft Class
7th round, 229th overallAge: ~41
MediumMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
42%
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 3 | 47 | 86 | 414 | 0 | 0 | 91 | 1 | 1 |
| 2004 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 10 | 184 | 337 | 2,242 | 13 | 16 | 282 | 8 | 21 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
42%
ML model output
Context Prob
42%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Strong ascending production slope (+1828 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time+0.349
2,656 career receiving yards — strong volume+0.281
No height-adjusted speed data — missing combine measurement+0.264
Top Negative Factors
Physical upside: 0.00 — average athletic ceiling-0.554
Improvement accelerating (+4.4) — getting better faster each year-0.390
204.3 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.325