Player breakdown
Jared Goff
California · 2016 Draft Class
6-4215 lbs1st round, 1st overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~31
High25+ Total TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
60%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | LAR | 7 | 7 | 112 | 205 | 1,089 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 1 | 6 |
| 2017 | LAR | 15 | 15 | 296 | 477 | 3,804 | 28 | 7 | 51 | 1 | 29 |
| 2018 | LAR | 16 | 16 | 364 | 561 | 4,688 | 32 | 12 | 108 | 2 | 34 |
| 2019 | LAR | 16 | 16 | 394 | 626 | 4,638 | 22 | 16 | 40 | 2 | 24 |
| 2020 | LAR | 15 | 15 | 370 | 552 | 3,952 | 20 | 13 | 99 | 4 | 24 |
| 2021 | DET | 14 | 14 | 332 | 494 | 3,245 | 19 | 8 | 87 | 0 | 19 |
| 2022 | DET | 17 | 17 | 382 | 587 | 4,438 | 29 | 7 | 73 | 0 | 29 |
| 2023 | DET | 17 | 17 | 407 | 605 | 4,575 | 30 | 12 | 21 | 2 | 32 |
| 2024 | DET | 17 | 17 | 390 | 539 | 4,629 | 37 | 12 | 56 | 0 | 37 |
| 2025 | DET | 17 | 17 | 393 | 578 | 4,564 | 34 | 8 | 45 | 0 | 34 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | California | ACC | 8 | 320 | 531 | 3,508 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 18 |
| 2014 | California | ACC | 11 | 316 | 509 | 3,973 | 35 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 35 |
| 2015 | California | ACC | 0 | 316 | 492 | 4,252 | 37 | 13 | 8 | 0 | 37 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
60%
ML model output
Context Prob
60%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Improvement accelerating (+0.2) — getting better faster each year+0.345
4.47s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.277
11,733 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.273
Top Negative Factors
Physical upside: 0.87 — elite athletic ceiling-0.560
617.5 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.345
Height-adjusted speed: 4.57s — below average speed for frame-0.282