Player breakdown
Jaren Hall
BYU · 2023 Draft Class
6-0207 lbs5th round, 164th overallAge at Draft: 25Age: ~28
HighMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
58%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | MIN | 3 | 2 | 13 | 20 | 168 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | BYU | Big 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019 | BYU | Big 12 | 2 | 31 | 46 | 420 | 1 | 0 | 139 | 3 | 4 |
| 2021 | BYU | Big 12 | 9 | 189 | 296 | 2,583 | 20 | 5 | 307 | 3 | 23 |
| 2022 | BYU | Big 12 | 0 | 248 | 376 | 3,171 | 31 | 6 | 346 | 3 | 34 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
58%
ML model output
Context Prob
58%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Strong ascending production slope (+1375 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time+0.337
No height-adjusted speed data — missing combine measurement+0.278
6,174 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.273
Top Negative Factors
Physical upside: 0.57 — average athletic ceiling-0.560
Improvement accelerating (+6.5) — getting better faster each year-0.397
561.3 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.343