Player breakdown
Jarrett Stidham
Auburn · 2019 Draft Class
6-2218 lbs4th round, 133rd overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~30
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
7%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | NWE | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 0 |
| 2020 | NWE | 5 | 0 | 22 | 44 | 256 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 2 |
| 2022 | LVR | 5 | 2 | 53 | 83 | 656 | 4 | 3 | 84 | 0 | 4 |
| 2023 | DEN | 3 | 2 | 40 | 66 | 496 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 2 |
| 2024 | DEN | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | DEN | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | Baylor | Big 12 | 0 | 75 | 109 | 1,265 | 12 | 2 | 70 | 2 | 14 |
| 2017 | Auburn | SEC | 11 | 218 | 327 | 2,827 | 17 | 4 | 178 | 4 | 21 |
| 2018 | Auburn | SEC | 10 | 209 | 348 | 2,421 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
7%
ML model output
Context Prob
7%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
4.33s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.277
5,248 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.273
2 season(s) at 80+ ypg — sustained elite output+0.262
Top Negative Factors
Physical upside: 0.87 — elite athletic ceiling-0.551
Improvement accelerating (+1.2) — getting better faster each year-0.390
249.9 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.335