Player breakdown
Jayden Daniels
LSU · 2024 Draft Class
6-4210 lbs1st round, 2nd overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~25
EliteHeisman x1Davey O'Brien x1Manning x1Unitas x1All-American x1All-Conference x125+ Total TD
Major awards: 6Heisman votes: 2029NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
95%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | WAS | 17 | 17 | 331 | 480 | 3,568 | 25 | 9 | 891 | 6 | 31 |
| 2025 | WAS | 7 | 7 | 114 | 188 | 1,262 | 8 | 3 | 278 | 2 | 10 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | Arizona State | Big 12 | 8 | 193 | 310 | 2,748 | 17 | 2 | 319 | 3 | 20 |
| 2020 | Arizona State | Big 12 | 4 | 49 | 84 | 701 | 5 | 1 | 223 | 4 | 9 |
| 2021 | Arizona State | Big 12 | 9 | 186 | 280 | 2,221 | 10 | 9 | 670 | 6 | 16 |
| 2022 | LSU | SEC | 0 | 254 | 371 | 2,774 | 16 | 3 | 818 | 11 | 27 |
| 2023 | LSU | SEC | 12 | 236 | 327 | 3,812 | 40 | 4 | 1,134 | 10 | 50 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
74%
ML model output
Context Prob
74%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Improvement accelerating (+0.4) — getting better faster each year+0.345
6,586 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.273
1 season(s) at 80+ ypg — one elite output+0.262
Top Negative Factors
Physical upside: 0.59 — average athletic ceiling-0.560
548.8 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.345
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output-0.279