Player breakdown
Jayden Denegal
San Diego State · 2026 Draft Class
Undrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
34%
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 12 | 143 | 234 | 1,830 | 7 | 2 | 219 | 1 | 8 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
34%
ML model output
Context Prob
34%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
1,830 career receiving yards — modest volume+0.281
No height-adjusted speed data — missing combine measurement+0.269
1 season(s) at 80+ ypg — one elite output+0.262
Top Negative Factors
Physical upside: 0.00 — average athletic ceiling-0.562
Improvement accelerating (+1830.0) — getting better faster each year-0.390
152.5 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.325