Player breakdown
Jaylen Raynor
Arkansas State · 2026 Draft Class
Undrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
High
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
58%
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 13 | 319 | 489 | 3,234 | 5 | 6 | 592 | 4 | 9 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
58%
ML model output
Context Prob
58%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Strong ascending production slope (+1617 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time+0.349
3,234 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.281
No height-adjusted speed data — missing combine measurement+0.261
Top Negative Factors
Physical upside: 0.00 — average athletic ceiling-0.574
Improvement accelerating (+3234.0) — getting better faster each year-0.390
248.8 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.333