Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Jeff Driskel
Jeff Driskel

Player breakdown

Jeff Driskel

Louisiana Tech · 2016 Draft Class

6-4234 lbs6th round, 207th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~33
MediumMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

50%

YearTeamGGSCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2018CIN951051761,0036213028
2019DET33621056854415115
2020DEN313564432322803
2022HOU721420108107501
2023CLE111326166223302
SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2011FloridaSEC01634148021800
2012FloridaSEC81562451,646125408416
2013FloridaSEC24261477233813
2014FloridaSEC61061951,092910173413
2015Louisiana TechConference USA02554123,575248307529

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

50%

ML model output

Context Prob

50%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Physical upside: 0.99 — elite athletic ceiling+0.375
4.25s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.277
3,575 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.273

Top Negative Factors

Improvement accelerating (+23.2) — getting better faster each year-0.397
0.0 career ypg — limited college production-0.351
Height-adjusted speed: 4.32s — elite speed for frame-0.309

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)