Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Jim Sorgi
Jim Sorgi

Player breakdown

Jim Sorgi

Wisconsin · 2004 Draft Class

6th round, 193rd overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~45
MediumMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

49%

YearTeamGGSCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2004IND40172917520-502
2005IND50426144431103
2007IND40183613210-401
2008IND10223017800800
SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2003WisconsinBig Ten121662602,280170184219

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

49%

ML model output

Context Prob

49%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.351
2,280 career receiving yards — strong volume+0.281
No height-adjusted speed data — missing combine measurement+0.269

Top Negative Factors

Physical upside: 0.00 — average athletic ceiling-0.554
190.0 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.329
Best-season yards rank: top 50% in class — average-0.294

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)