Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Jimmy Clausen
Jimmy Clausen

Player breakdown

Jimmy Clausen

Notre Dame · 2010 Draft Class

6-3222 lbs2nd round, 48th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~38
MediumMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

44%

YearTeamGGSCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2010CAR13101572991,558395703
2014CHI41264822321902
2015BAL224985555232802
SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2007Notre DameFBS Independents51382451,25476007
2008Notre DameFBS Independents92464142,77120170020
2009Notre DameFBS Independents122894253,7222840028

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

44%

ML model output

Context Prob

44%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Physical upside: 0.89 — elite athletic ceiling+0.349
Strong ascending production slope (+1234 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time+0.343
7,747 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.273

Top Negative Factors

Improvement accelerating (+2.0) — getting better faster each year-0.383
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output-0.362
298.0 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.346

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)