Predicting the Pros
Predictions/J.J. Kohl
J.J. Kohl

Player breakdown

J.J. Kohl

App State · 2026 Draft Class

Undrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Medium
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

42%

SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2025App StateSun Belt81272101,3837211718

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

42%

ML model output

Context Prob

42%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.344
1,383 career receiving yards — modest volume+0.281
No height-adjusted speed data — missing combine measurement+0.269

Top Negative Factors

Physical upside: 0.00 — average athletic ceiling-0.554
172.9 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.325
Best-season yards rank: top 48% in class — average-0.294

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)