Player breakdown
Joe Fagnano
UConn · 2026 Draft Class
6-3226 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Medium
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
45%
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | UConn | FBS Independents | 12 | 270 | 361 | 3,110 | 12 | 0 | 206 | 3 | 15 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
45%
ML model output
Context Prob
45%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Physical upside: 0.89 — elite athletic ceiling+0.453
4.35s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.277
3,110 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.273
Top Negative Factors
Improvement accelerating (+3110.0) — getting better faster each year-0.390
259.2 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.335
Height-adjusted speed: 4.64s — below average speed for frame-0.309