Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Joe Flacco
Joe Flacco

Player breakdown

Joe Flacco

Delaware · 2008 Draft Class

6-6236 lbs1st round, 18th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~41
High25+ Total TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

67%

YearTeamGGSCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2008BAL16162574282,9711412180216
2009BAL16163154993,613211256021
2010BAL16163064893,622251084126
2011BAL16163125423,610201288121
2012BAL16163175313,817221022325
2013BAL16163626143,9121922131120
2014BAL16163445543,986271270229
2015BAL10102664132,791141223317
2016BAL16164366724,317201558222
2017BAL16163525493,141181354119
2018BAL992323792,46512645012
2019DEN881712621,822652006
2020NYJ5474134864632206
2021NYJ21274233830303
2022NYJ541101911,05153605
2023CLE551232041,6161382013
2024IND861622481,76112726012
2025CIN961582561,66413422114
SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2004PittsburghACC0141100000
2007DelawareCAA133315214,26323522427

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

67%

ML model output

Context Prob

67%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Physical upside: 0.92 — elite athletic ceiling+0.369
Strong ascending production slope (+4252 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time+0.343
4.27s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.277

Top Negative Factors

Improvement accelerating (+386.6) — getting better faster each year-0.383
327.9 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.330
Height-adjusted speed: 4.47s — good speed for frame-0.301

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)