Player breakdown
Joe Milton
Tennessee · 2024 Draft Class
6-5235 lbs6th round, 193rd overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~26
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
23%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | NWE | 1 | 0 | 22 | 29 | 241 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 2 |
| 2025 | DAL | 4 | 0 | 15 | 24 | 183 | 1 | 2 | 50 | 0 | 1 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | Michigan | Big Ten | 1 | 2 | 3 | 45 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 1 | 1 |
| 2019 | Michigan | Big Ten | 1 | 3 | 7 | 59 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 1 | 2 |
| 2020 | Michigan | Big Ten | 2 | 80 | 141 | 1,077 | 4 | 4 | 109 | 1 | 5 |
| 2021 | Tennessee | SEC | 2 | 32 | 62 | 375 | 2 | 0 | 129 | 2 | 4 |
| 2022 | Tennessee | SEC | 0 | 34 | 54 | 720 | 7 | 0 | 72 | 0 | 7 |
| 2023 | Tennessee | SEC | 12 | 229 | 354 | 2,813 | 20 | 5 | 299 | 7 | 27 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
23%
ML model output
Context Prob
23%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
No height-adjusted speed data — missing combine measurement+0.275
3,908 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.273
2 season(s) at 80+ ypg — sustained elite output+0.262
Top Negative Factors
Physical upside: 0.63 — strong athletic ceiling-0.554
Improvement accelerating (+61.5) — getting better faster each year-0.397
279.1 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.322