Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Joey Aguilar
Joey Aguilar

Player breakdown

Joey Aguilar

Tennessee · 2026 Draft Class

6-3229 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

32%

SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2025TennesseeSEC132643763,432151239318

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

32%

ML model output

Context Prob

32%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

3,432 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.273
No height-adjusted speed data — missing combine measurement+0.267
1 season(s) at 80+ ypg — one elite output+0.262

Top Negative Factors

Physical upside: 0.62 — strong athletic ceiling-0.574
Improvement accelerating (+3432.0) — getting better faster each year-0.390
264.0 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.335

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)