
Player breakdown
Joey Aguilar
Tennessee · 2026 Draft Class
6-3229 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
32%
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Tennessee | SEC | 13 | 264 | 376 | 3,432 | 15 | 1 | 239 | 3 | 18 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
32%
ML model output
Context Prob
32%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
3,432 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.273
No height-adjusted speed data — missing combine measurement+0.267
1 season(s) at 80+ ypg — one elite output+0.262
Top Negative Factors
Physical upside: 0.62 — strong athletic ceiling-0.574
Improvement accelerating (+3432.0) — getting better faster each year-0.390
264.0 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.335