Predicting the Pros
Predictions/John David Booty
John David Booty

Player breakdown

John David Booty

USC · 2008 Draft Class

6-2218 lbs5th round, 137th overallAge: ~41
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

8%

SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2003USCBig Ten48149000000
2005USCBig Ten3274232732003
2006USCBig Ten112423912,9562590025
2007USCBig Ten91903032,1062090020

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

8%

ML model output

Context Prob

8%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.58s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.262
5,479 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.260
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.198

Top Negative Factors

Physical upside: 0.87 — elite athletic ceiling-0.554
Improvement accelerating (+31.8) — getting better faster each year-0.397
202.9 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.343

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)