
Player breakdown
John-Keawe Sagapolutele
Portland State · 2026 Draft Class
Undrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
26%
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Portland State | Big Sky | 11 | 147 | 241 | 1,589 | 3 | 4 | 75 | 0 | 3 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
26%
ML model output
Context Prob
26%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
1,589 career receiving yards — modest volume+0.281
No height-adjusted speed data — missing combine measurement+0.269
1 season(s) at 80+ ypg — one elite output+0.262
Top Negative Factors
Physical upside: 0.00 — average athletic ceiling-0.554
Improvement accelerating (+1589.0) — getting better faster each year-0.390
144.4 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.325