Player breakdown
John Mateer
Oklahoma · 2026 Draft Class
Undrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Medium
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: $2.0M
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
40%
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Oklahoma | SEC | 12 | 239 | 362 | 2,658 | 8 | 5 | 562 | 7 | 15 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
40%
ML model output
Context Prob
40%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
2,658 career receiving yards — strong volume+0.281
1 season(s) at 80+ ypg — one elite output+0.262
No height-adjusted speed data — missing combine measurement+0.261
Top Negative Factors
Physical upside: 0.00 — average athletic ceiling-0.568
Improvement accelerating (+2658.0) — getting better faster each year-0.390
221.5 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.333