Player breakdown
Johnny Manziel
Texas A&M · 2014 Draft Class
6-0207 lbs1st round, 22nd overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~33
EliteHeisman x1Davey O'Brien x1Manning x1All-American x1Missed 25+ TD
Major awards: 4Heisman votes: 2029NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
92%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | CLE | 5 | 2 | 18 | 35 | 175 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 1 | 1 |
| 2015 | CLE | 9 | 6 | 129 | 223 | 1,500 | 7 | 5 | 230 | 0 | 7 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | Texas A&M | SEC | 11 | 295 | 434 | 3,706 | 26 | 9 | 1,410 | 21 | 47 |
| 2013 | Texas A&M | SEC | 12 | 270 | 391 | 3,732 | 33 | 13 | 686 | 8 | 41 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
44%
ML model output
Context Prob
44%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Improvement accelerating (+0.0) — getting better faster each year+0.345
4.03s short shuttle — elite lateral quickness+0.277
7,438 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.273
Top Negative Factors
Physical upside: 0.86 — elite athletic ceiling-0.566
323.4 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.351
Height-adjusted speed: 4.68s — below average speed for frame-0.297