Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Jonathan Crompton
Jonathan Crompton

Player breakdown

Jonathan Crompton

Tennessee · 2010 Draft Class

5th round, 168th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~39
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

12%

SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2006TennesseeSEC23166401421804
2007TennesseeSEC17129712001
2008TennesseeSEC486167889452726
2009TennesseeSEC102243842,80027130027

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

12%

ML model output

Context Prob

12%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4,187 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.268
No height-adjusted speed data — missing combine measurement+0.264
116 yards per TD — big-play production pattern+0.182

Top Negative Factors

Physical upside: 0.00 — average athletic ceiling-0.546
Improvement accelerating (+6.0) — getting better faster each year-0.397
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output-0.379

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)