Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Jordan Love
Jordan Love

Player breakdown

Jordan Love

Utah St. · 2020 Draft Class

6-4224 lbs1st round, 26th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~27
Low25+ Total TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

29%

YearTeamGGSCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2021GNB613662411232702
2022GNB40142119510-101
2023GNB17173725794,1593211247436
2024GNB15152684253,389251183126
2025GNB15152914393,381236199023
SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2017Utah StateMountain West61041911,37786164210
2018Utah StateMountain West112463743,20828560634
2019Utah StateMountain West102634343,0851716159017

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

29%

ML model output

Context Prob

29%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Physical upside: 0.91 — elite athletic ceiling+0.369
4.52s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.277
7,670 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.273

Top Negative Factors

Improvement accelerating (+1.3) — getting better faster each year-0.390
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output-0.367
284.1 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.346

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)