Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Jordan Travis
Jordan Travis

Player breakdown

Jordan Travis

Florida St. · 2024 Draft Class

6-1200 lbs5th round, 171st overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~26
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

10%

SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2018LouisvilleACC141471114001
2019Florida StateACC248770017033
2020Florida StateACC6721311,05666559713
2021LouisvilleACC91221941,539156530722
2022Florida StateACC01993152,796224367729
2023Florida StateACC112073242,756202176727

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

10%

ML model output

Context Prob

10%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

No height-adjusted speed data — missing combine measurement+0.265
8,224 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.260
Composite college score: 13 — elite multi-metric profile+0.168

Top Negative Factors

Physical upside: 0.57 — average athletic ceiling-0.546
Improvement accelerating (+38.4) — getting better faster each year-0.397
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output-0.356

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)