Player breakdown
Josh Freeman
Kansas St. · 2009 Draft Class
6-6248 lbs1st round, 17th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~38
Medium25+ Total TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
44%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 | TAM | 10 | 9 | 158 | 290 | 1,855 | 10 | 18 | 161 | 0 | 10 |
| 2010 | TAM | 16 | 16 | 291 | 474 | 3,451 | 25 | 6 | 364 | 0 | 25 |
| 2011 | TAM | 15 | 15 | 346 | 551 | 3,592 | 16 | 22 | 238 | 4 | 20 |
| 2012 | TAM | 16 | 16 | 306 | 558 | 4,065 | 27 | 17 | 139 | 0 | 27 |
| 2013 | MIN | 3 | 1 | 20 | 53 | 190 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 2015 | IND | 1 | 1 | 15 | 28 | 149 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 0 | 1 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 4 | 130 | 249 | 1,651 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 2007 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 11 | 316 | 499 | 3,353 | 18 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 18 |
| 2008 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 11 | 224 | 382 | 2,945 | 20 | 8 | 404 | 14 | 34 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
44%
ML model output
Context Prob
44%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Physical upside: 0.94 — elite athletic ceiling+0.369
4.43s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.277
7,949 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.273
Top Negative Factors
305.7 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.335
3 season(s) at 80+ ypg — sustained elite output-0.319
Height-adjusted speed: 4.52s — below average speed for frame-0.290