Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Josh Harris
Josh Harris

Player breakdown

Josh Harris

Bowling Green · 2004 Draft Class

6-1238 lbs6th round, 187th overallAge: ~41
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

26%

SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2003Middle TennesseeConference USA261150001700

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

26%

ML model output

Context Prob

26%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Physical upside: 0.92 — elite athletic ceiling+0.362
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.344
2,261 career receiving yards — strong volume+0.273

Top Negative Factors

323.0 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.318
Height-adjusted speed: 4.71s — below average speed for frame-0.314
Best-season yards rank: top 56% in class — average-0.300

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)