Player breakdown
Josh Holst
Northern Illinois · 2027 Draft Class
Undrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
28%
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 7 | 74 | 122 | 666 | 2 | 0 | 228 | 0 | 2 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
28%
ML model output
Context Prob
28%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
666 career receiving yards — modest volume+0.281
No height-adjusted speed data — missing combine measurement+0.269
1 season(s) at 80+ ypg — one elite output+0.262
Top Negative Factors
Physical upside: 0.00 — average athletic ceiling-0.554
Improvement accelerating (+666.0) — getting better faster each year-0.390
95.1 career ypg — strong primary-target college production-0.325