Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Josh Hoover
Josh Hoover

Player breakdown

Josh Hoover

TCU · 2026 Draft Class

Undrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: $2.3M
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

39%

SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2025TCUBig 12122583773,231180136220

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

39%

ML model output

Context Prob

39%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

3,231 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.281
1 season(s) at 80+ ypg — one elite output+0.262
No height-adjusted speed data — missing combine measurement+0.261

Top Negative Factors

Physical upside: 0.00 — average athletic ceiling-0.574
Improvement accelerating (+3231.0) — getting better faster each year-0.390
269.2 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.333

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)