Player breakdown
Josh Rosen
UCLA · 2018 Draft Class
6-4226 lbs1st round, 10th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~29
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
25%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | ARI | 14 | 13 | 217 | 393 | 2,278 | 11 | 14 | 138 | 0 | 11 |
| 2019 | MIA | 6 | 3 | 58 | 109 | 567 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 1 |
| 2021 | ATL | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | UCLA | Big Ten | 0 | 266 | 447 | 3,351 | 20 | 9 | 26 | 2 | 22 |
| 2016 | UCLA | Big Ten | 6 | 137 | 231 | 1,915 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| 2017 | UCLA | Big Ten | 11 | 282 | 451 | 3,717 | 26 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 26 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
25%
ML model output
Context Prob
25%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Improvement accelerating (+0.1) — getting better faster each year+0.344
4.28s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.277
8,983 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.273
Top Negative Factors
Physical upside: 0.87 — elite athletic ceiling-0.557
528.4 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.346
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output-0.299