Player breakdown
Joshua Dobbs
Tennessee · 2017 Draft Class
6-3216 lbs4th round, 135th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~31
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
8%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | PIT | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 43 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 2020 | PIT | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 2022 | TEN | 2 | 2 | 40 | 68 | 411 | 2 | 2 | 44 | 0 | 2 |
| 2023 | MIN | 5 | 4 | 95 | 151 | 895 | 5 | 5 | 163 | 3 | 8 |
| 2024 | SFO | 2 | 1 | 32 | 47 | 361 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 2 | 4 |
| 2025 | NWE | 4 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 65 | 0 | 0 | -5 | 0 | 0 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | Tennessee | SEC | 1 | 72 | 121 | 695 | 2 | 6 | 189 | 1 | 3 |
| 2014 | Tennessee | SEC | 5 | 96 | 156 | 1,077 | 8 | 5 | 393 | 6 | 14 |
| 2015 | Tennessee | SEC | 0 | 191 | 319 | 2,125 | 15 | 5 | 623 | 9 | 24 |
| 2016 | Tennessee | SEC | 11 | 202 | 319 | 2,655 | 26 | 12 | 713 | 9 | 35 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
8%
ML model output
Context Prob
8%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Physical upside: 0.91 — elite athletic ceiling+0.355
4.31s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.269
6,552 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.260
Top Negative Factors
Improvement accelerating (+2.8) — getting better faster each year-0.390
385.4 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.334
4 college seasons of data — proven multi-year track record-0.323