Player breakdown
J.P. Losman
Tulane · 2004 Draft Class
6-2224 lbs1st round, 22nd overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~45
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
38%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | BUF | 4 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 32 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 2005 | BUF | 9 | 8 | 113 | 228 | 1,340 | 8 | 8 | 154 | 0 | 8 |
| 2006 | BUF | 16 | 16 | 268 | 429 | 3,051 | 19 | 14 | 140 | 1 | 20 |
| 2007 | BUF | 8 | 7 | 111 | 175 | 1,204 | 4 | 6 | 110 | 0 | 4 |
| 2008 | BUF | 5 | 2 | 63 | 104 | 584 | 2 | 5 | 70 | 2 | 4 |
| 2009 | OAK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2011 | MIA | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 60 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003 | Tulane | American Athletic | 3 | 73 | 119 | 841 | 7 | 0 | 73 | 0 | 7 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
38%
ML model output
Context Prob
38%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Physical upside: 0.90 — elite athletic ceiling+0.362
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.351
841 career receiving yards — modest volume+0.273
Top Negative Factors
280.3 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.322
Height-adjusted speed: 4.60s — below average speed for frame-0.320
Best-season yards rank: top 75% in class — average-0.286